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察哈爾(チャハル)学会

  • 学会の動向
  • 学会の概要
  • 会長プロフィール
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  • 学会の成果
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ニュース

Vice President of the Charhar Institute’s Council Deng Kui Meets with G...

십이월 16, 2019

Charhar Institute Experts Attend the 2019 South-South Human Rights Foru...

십이월 14, 2019

Chairman Han Fangming Delivers Speech at the 2019 Zhejiang Businessmen S...

십이월 13, 2019

Jeju International Peace Center & the Charhar Institute Establish Strate...

십이월 07, 2019

Charhar Institute Holds Seminar on China-ROK Public Diplomacy Peace F...

십이월 06, 2019

The 5th China-ROK Public Diplomacy Peace Forum Held in Seoul

십이월 05, 2019
More

Energy, Safety and Peace

Africa needs immediate help to fight the epidemic

사월 16, 2020

Int'l community should help the poor in Pakistan

사월 15, 2020

Law, Culture and Religion

Pan Deng: Latin American people will be wary of external interference

십일월 25, 2019

Pan Deng: Uncertainty still hangs over Spain's new national election

십일월 25, 2019

Communication

He Wenping: Fake news fails in damaging Sino-African ties

일월 31, 2019

Resistance from within the White House

구월 10, 2018

Economic and Trade

U.S. should lift embargo on Cuba during COVID-19

사월 08, 2020

Towards Economic Decoupling? Mapping Chinese Discourse on the China–US...

삼월 26, 2020

The Korean Peninsula

Su Hao: Tokyo should give ground to resolve tensions with Seoul over ‘comfo...

유월 26, 2019

Swaran Singh: Can next U.S.-DPRK meeting be expected?

유월 12, 2019

Belt & Road Initiative

Unchangeable Commitment

이월 19, 2020

He Wenping: A New Milestone: The implementation of the AfCFTA agreem...

칠월 16, 2019

Public Diplomacy and International Relations

Compensation from China? No Way.

사월 29, 2020

The world after COVID-19: What a leadership test will bring

사월 29, 2020
More

Introduction to Public Diplomacy

Diplomatic Theory and Practice

유월 21, 2018

Introduction to Public Diplomacy 2nd Edition

유월 20, 2018

Charhar International Relations series

International Public Product: China and the World at the Midst of Revolut...

유월 21, 2018

Power and Wealth: Economic Nationalism and International Relationships und...

유월 21, 2018

Charhar Newsletter

Charhar Newsletter

팔월 16, 2018

Charhar Public Diplomacy series

Winning the Chinese Hearts and Souls

유월 20, 2018

City Diplomacy: China’s Practice and Foreign Experience

유월 20, 2018

Other books and reports

The impotence of conventional arms control

삼월 25, 2020

How Did Stalin Fall into the “Thucydides Trap”

이월 27, 2020

Public Dipmacy Quarterly

Public Diplomacy Quarterly

팔월 17, 2018
More

Pan Deng: Uncertainty still hangs over Spain's new national election

2019-11-25


Spanish acting Prime Minister and Leader of the Socialist Party (PSOE) Pedro Sanchez (R) and his wife Maria Begona Gomez Fernandez (L) leave after casting their ballots at a polling station in Madrid, Spain on November 10, 2019. /VCG Photo


During Spain's April election this year, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) led by Petro Sánchez, despite winning the most seats in the Congress of Deputies, failed to secure a parliamentary majority in the Congress of Deputies (lower house of the parliament). Consequently, the parliament refused to accept Sánchez as the prime minister - for the second time.


To break the political deadlock, the country is holding another national election this Sunday.


However, after this one, how long will it be until the country has its new government and prime minister still depends on the negotiation process between the different political parties.


Main players haven't changed


The upcoming election has not sparked much interest among voters, because they are facing pretty much the same candidates from major political parties as in April.


In the April vote, the two establishment parties, the Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and the People's Party (PP), won 29 percent and 16.7 percent of the seats respectively.


Five years ago, or even as far back as 30 years ago, the situation was drastically different as the parliament was dominated by the two main political parties, and the right to form the cabinet alternated between them.


Since the national election in 2015, however, the radical left-wing party "Podemos" which campaigned against fiscal austerity, the "Ciudadanos" which started out against Catalonia's independence, and the far-right "Vox" party repeatedly challenged the political mainstream and won 14.3, 16 and 10 percent of all seats in the April vote.


PSOE and Podemos, both left-wing parties, could have formed a government coalition... Sánchez even offered the latter with the posts of one deputy prime minister and three ministers.


However, the two parties were unable to reach an agreement on specific candidates and positions. Podemos chose to abstain in the two rounds of votes on deciding on the prime minister and watched Sánchez miss out on the position of the prime minister.



Spanish acting Prime Minister and Leader of the Socialist Party (PSOE) Pedro Sanchez speaks to press after casting his ballot at a polling station in Madrid, Spain on November 10, 2019. Spain holds general elections after Sanchez failed to form a government following 28 April elections. /VCG Photo


Podemos' strategy was poorly thought-out. Its initial glory five years ago is fading away. Judging from the results of the recent national and local elections, its approval rate is expected to further decline in the upcoming national election. The latest attempt by Sánchez to form a cabinet might be its best opportunity to step into the center stage of power.


Ciudadanos, which has always maintained a clear right-wing liberal democratic party line, has tried to blur its ideological pursuit in several national elections to make allies with different parties. To participate in the formation of a cabinet, it even tried to form a coalition with the rightist PP and has also discussed the possibility of forming a coalition government with the leftist PSOE. Its repeated wavering of positions has cost it support from its original staunch supporters.


According to a poll released by El mundo on July 1 this year, one in five voters who voted for Ciudadanos regretted over their choice. In other words, Ciudadanos is likely to lose its status as the third-largest party in the new parliament.


Turnout is the biggest variable


It would not be hard for PSOE to secure the most seats in this election. However, it will only hold less than one-third of all the seats. If it's unwilling to take out enough cabinet positions to trade with other parties, it's likely to miss out on the position of prime minister once again.


However, for those voters tired of Podemos and Ciudadanos, if they turn to the right-wing PP or the far-right Vox, then PSOE joining hands with one of the two parties in forming a coalition will only be a matter of how rather than if.


Of course, at a time full of "black swans", anything can happen. The biggest variable for this election is the turnout.


This will be Spain's fourth national election in four years, two of which have turned out to be debacles due to not being able to have a prime minister and the failure to reach a bipartisan consensus between the coalition parties on the budget.


In May this year, parties in Spain also went through municipal elections, local elections and European Parliament elections.


The endless political infighting will eventually exhaust the Spanish people. No matter how strong the enthusiasm for an election is, it will run out one day if politicians fail to respond with practical actions again and again.


However, one thing is certain. Any political party that wants to make a difference in the capital dares not to condone the attempt to secede Catalonia from the Spanish territory. 



Copy Editor/Kang Sijun

Editor/Wu Haoyue



Author: Pan Deng is an adjunct fellow of the Charhar Institute and an assistant professor at the China University of Political Science and Law. 
Source: CGTN, 2019-11-10
Original Link: https://news.cgtn.com/news/2019-11-10/Uncertainty-still-hangs-over-Spain-s-new-national-election-LvQQ78cryo/index.html


察哈爾(チャハル)学会
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  44. [8] Undefined variable: modelid /mnt/wwwroot/charhar-japenese/lvyecms/Application/Content/TagLib/Content.class.php 第 148 行.
  45. [2] Illegal string offset 'thumb' /mnt/wwwroot/charhar-japenese/#runtime/Cache/Content/b890f34757bd4132be3e765e6d073283.php 第 1042 行.
  46. [2] Illegal string offset 'url' /mnt/wwwroot/charhar-japenese/#runtime/Cache/Content/b890f34757bd4132be3e765e6d073283.php 第 1044 行.
  47. [2] Illegal string offset 'title' /mnt/wwwroot/charhar-japenese/#runtime/Cache/Content/b890f34757bd4132be3e765e6d073283.php 第 1044 行.
  48. [2] Illegal string offset 'description' /mnt/wwwroot/charhar-japenese/#runtime/Cache/Content/b890f34757bd4132be3e765e6d073283.php 第 1046 行.
  1. SHOW COLUMNS FROM `lvyecms_news` [ RunTime:0.0006s ]
  2. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `id` = 50091479 AND `status` = 99 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  3. SHOW COLUMNS FROM `lvyecms_news_data` [ RunTime:0.0003s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news_data` WHERE ( 1=1 AND id='50091479' ) LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  5. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 5 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 6 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  6. SHOW COLUMNS FROM `lvyecms_category` [ RunTime:0.0005s ]
  7. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_category` WHERE `ismenu` = 1 AND `parentid` = 29 ORDER BY listorder desc,catid desc [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 39 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  9. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 38 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 37 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 36 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 32 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 31 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_news` WHERE `catid` = 30 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_category` WHERE `ismenu` = 1 AND `parentid` = 14 ORDER BY listorder desc,catid desc [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  16. SHOW COLUMNS FROM `lvyecms_book` [ RunTime:0.0005s ]
  17. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 42 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  18. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 41 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  19. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 40 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  20. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 18 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  21. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 17 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
  22. SELECT * FROM `lvyecms_book` WHERE `catid` = 7 AND `thumb` <> '' AND `status` = 99 ORDER BY listorder desc,id desc LIMIT 2 [ RunTime:0.0001s ]
0.0572s